Journal of Political Strategy

Analysis of the Impact of Political and Economic Competition of the United States, China, and Russia on the Regional Position of the Islamic Republic of Iran by 2030

Volume 9, Issue 1 - Serial Number 32
Spring 2025
Pages 195-217
Journal of Political Strategy

Document Type : Original Article from Result of Thesis

Authors

Ahmad Fazli 1
reza jalali 2
Habibbollah Abolhassan Shirazi 3
Ali Tabatabaei 2

1 Ph.D Student, Department of Political Science, Central Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, tehran, Iran

2 Assistant Professor at the Department of Political Science, Central Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, tehran, Iran

3 Professor at the Department of Political Science, Central Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, tehran, Iran

Abstract
This article examinesthe impact of the political and economic competition of three global powers-the United States, China, and Russia-on the regional position of the Islamic Republic of Iran by 2030.The increasing competition of these powers in the geopolitical,economic, and security arenashas significantly affected the structure of the regional order in West Asia and has broughtabout newdevelopments in powerequations.In the meantime, Iran, due to its strategic location,rich energy resources, and geostrategic capacities,has become one of the important axes of interaction andconfrontation of these competitions.The main question of the research is what impact will thisglobal competition have on Iran's regionalposition by 2030?The hypothesis put forwardinthe article is thatthe continuation andintensification of the competition between the United States, China,and Russiacanlead to the formation of new opportunitiesand threats for Iran; In such a way that by adopting anactive, balanced,and multilateral foreign policy,Iran will be able to manage risks while taking advantage of opportunities andenhance its regional positionThe present study, using adescriptive-analyticalmethod basedon strategic data, examines the variousdimensionsof this competitionand analyzes its impact onIran's foreignpolicy andregional positionThe findings indicate that the orientation of thegreat powers towards Iran is subject to geopolitical interestsand changes inthe globalorder,and Iran's role in this process will dependon its intelligent activism

Keywords

America"
China"
Russia"
Iran"
"
political and economic competition"
Subjects
بخشی آنی، رضا؛ عباسی، مجید و رحیمی‌نژاد، محمدعلی. (1400). متغیرهای اقتصادی و سیاسی حاکم بر روابط راهبردی ایران و چین. مطالعات اقتصاد سیاسی بین‌الملل، 4(2): 423-462.
دویچ، کارل؛ کیوهین، رابرت و نای، جوزف(1375)، نظریه‌های روابط بین‌الملل، ترجمه وحید بزرگی، تهران: انتشارات جهاد دانشگاهی.
شرفخانی، مجید؛ حاجی‌مینه، رحمت و دهشیری، محمدرضا. (1400). جایگاه زنجیره ارزش بین‌المللی در رقابت هژمونیک چین و آمریکا. مطالعات اقتصاد سیاسی بین‌الملل، 4(2): 393-422.
قوام، عبدالعلی. (1400). روابط بین‌الملل، نظریه‌ها و رویکردها. تهران: انتشارات سمت.
مشیرزاده، حمیرا. (1395). تحول در نظریه‌های روابط بین‌الملل، تهران: انتشارات سمت.
ورموث، کریستینه. (1398). روسیه و چین در خاورمیانه: پیامدهایی برای ایالات متحده در عصر رقابت راهبردی، ترجمه اکبر بتوئی و جواد عرب یارمحمدی. تهران: انتشارات مؤسسه رند.
Acharya, A. (2014). The End of American World Order. Polity Press.
Bayne, N., & Woolcock, S. (2007). The New Economic Diplomacy: Decision-Making and Negotiation in International Economic Relations. Ashgate.
Blank, S. (2021). “Russia and the Second Karabakh War.” The Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst.
Bohr, A. (2022). “Iran in Central Asia: Aspirations and Limitations.” Chatham House Briefing Papers.
Downs, E. (2021). “China’s Oil Trade with Sanctioned States.” Brookings Institution.
Ehteshami, A. (2017). Iran and the International System. Routledge.
Ehteshami, A. (2017). Globalization and geopolitics in the Middle East: Old games, new rules. Routledge.
Fattouh, B., & Economou, A. (2020). Iran-Russia Energy Relations: Cooperation or Competition? Oxford Institute for Energy Studies.
Fitzpatrick, M. (2014). Nuclear Iran: The Birth of an Atomic State. Routledge.
Fulton, J. (2019). China’s Changing Role in the Middle East. Atlantic Council.
Fulton, J. (2021). China–Iran relations and the Belt and Road Initiative: Strategic partnership or tactical alignment? Middle East Policy, 28(1).
Ikenberry, G. J. (2011). Liberal Leviathan: The Origins, Crisis, and Transformation of the American World Order. Princeton University Press.
Leverett, F., & Leverett, H. M. (2013). Going to Tehran: Why the United States Must Come to Terms with the Islamic Republic of Iran. Metropolitan Books.
Jervis, R. (2017). The Logic of Images in International Relations. Princeton University Press.
Keohane, R. O., & Nye, J. S. (1996). Power and Interdependence. Longman.
Katz, M. N. (2020). “Iran and Russia: Cooperation and Competition in the Middle East.” Middle East Policy, 27(3), 56-66.
Kavalski, E. (2018). The Silk Roads and the political economy of the Belt and Road Initiative. Asia Europe Journal, 16(3).
Mabon, S. (2020). Saudi Arabia and Iran: Power and rivalry in the Middle East.
Morgenthau, H. J. (2007). Politics among Nations: The Struggle for Power and Peace. McGraw-Hill.
Nasr, V. (2016). The Shia Revival: How Conflicts within Islam Will Shape the Future. W.W. Norton & Company.
Parsi, T. (2022). Losing an Enemy: Obama, Iran, and the Triumph of Diplomacy. Yale University Press.
Salehi-Isfahani, D. (2021). Iran’s economy at a crossroads. Middle East Institute.
Salehi-Isfahani, D. (2021). “Iran’s Economy at the Crossroads: Structural Weaknesses and External Pressures.” Middle East Economic Review.
Scobell, A., & Nader, A. (2016). China in the Middle East: The Wary Dragon. RAND Corporation.
Takeyh, R. (2021). The Last Shah: America, Iran, and the Fall of the Pahlavi Dynasty. Yale University Press.
Tabatabai, A. (2020). Iran’s foreign and defense policies. RAND Corporation.
Tabatabai, A. (2019). Syria, Iran, and the Strategic Utility of Cooperation with Russia. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
Weitz, R. (2021). Russia and Iran: Strategic partners or tactical allies? Middle East Policy Council.
Mearsheimer, J. J. (2019). The Great Delusion: Liberal Dreams and International Realities. Yale University Press.
Vakil, S. (2022). “Iran’s Strategic Hedging and the China Question.” Chatham House Briefing Papers.
Waltz, K. N. (1979). Theory of International Politics. Addison-Wesley.
Zhang, C., & He, B. (2019). “Iran’s Role in China’s Belt and Road Initiative.” Asia and the Pacific Policy Studies, 6(1), 45–55.
Zhao, S. (2020). China and the Middle East: From Energy Importer to Strategic Partner. Routledge.

Home

Guide for Authors

Submit Manuscript

Reviewers

Contact Us