The future of the Saudi political system and possible scenarios

Document Type : Original Independent Original Article

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Abstract
The aim of this article is to identify possible scenarios for the future of the Saudi political system. The method of this article is future research and uses scenario writing techniques, trend and driver analysis, questionnaire and cross-effects matrix. The statistical population includes researchers on social and political issues in Saudi Arabia, and the sample size was selected using the Cochran formula. The findings of the research identify three scenarios for the future of the Saudi political system. In the first scenario, the future of the Saudi political system will be towards strengthening, growth, and efficiency. In the second scenario, the future state of the Saudi political system will be one of stability and no change. In the third scenario, the probability of this scenario is strong and all descriptors of this scenario have a positive score and its compatibility value is high. In this scenario, the Saudi political system will experience deep and fundamental reforms. In such circumstances, if accelerating factors are added to this situation, the future of the system will lead to fundamental changes.

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